Muhurat Trading 2026: Sensex, Nifty has 80% strike rate. Will this trend continue as Samvat 2083 kicks off?
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The Indian stock market will remain open for a special one-hour Diwali muhurat trading session on Sunday, marking the beginning of the new Hindu financial year, Samvat 2083. Historically, Sensex and Nifty ended on a sweet note during this session, traditionally held on the auspicious occasion of Diwali.In the last 10 muhurat trading sessions, Sensex and Nifty recorded gains eight out of 10 times. The only times the benchmark indices closed in the red during the special session were in 2016 and 2017.Also read | Stock Market Holiday 2026: When will BSE & NSE be closed for Diwali? Muhurat trading timings, other key things to knowLast year, the Indian stock market had opened on a firm note, with Sensex and Nifty rising to what then were the 52-week highs, but gave up most of the gains by the end of the session to close on the flat note. Overall, Sensex gained 63 points to close at 84,426, while Nifty 50 rose 25 points to end the muhurat trading session in 2025 at 25,868.Muhurat trading sessions typically see low volumes as investors make symbolic first trades of the new year, a custom believed to bring prosperity and good luck. Here is how Sensex has performed in the past 10 muhurat trading sessions.<iframe title="Sensex returns on Muhurat Trading over past 10 years" aria-label="Column Chart" id="datawrapper-chart-nRgys" src="https://et-infographics.indiatimes.com/graphs/nRgys/1/" scrolling="no" frameborder="0" style="width: 0; min-width: 100% !important; border: none;" height="492" data-external="1"></iframe><script type="text/javascript">(function(){function e(){window.addEventListener(`message`,function(e){if(e.data[`datawrapper-height`]!==void 0){var t=document.querySelectorAll(`iframe`);for(var n in e.data[`datawrapper-height`])for(var r=0,i;i=t[r];r++)if(i.contentWindow===e.source){var a=e.data[`datawrapper-height`][n]+`px`;i.style.height=a}}})}e()})();</script>What to expect for Muhurat Trading 2026?Indian equities enter the new Samvat 2083 on an improving note, supported by a sharp six-session recovery, renewed FII buying and easing crude prices, said Ajit Mishra, SVP of Research at Religare Broking. However, global technology-led volatility and geopolitical uncertainties warrant some caution. “We expect the broader market outlook to remain cautiously positive, with intermittent consolidation after the recent rally. Investors should use Muhurat Trading to initiate selective positions in fundamentally strong companies rather than chase momentum,” he said.ICICI Direct expects the Indian stock market to deliver healthy double-digit returns in Samvat 2083. This optimism comes partly from an improving July-September quarter earnings season, which has helped restore some confidence. Furthermore, the recent market correction has made valuations significantly more attractive, with the Nifty 50's two-year forward price-to-earnings (P/E) multiple easing to more sustainable levels.Veteran banker Uday Kotak also expressed his confidence in the Indian market ahead of the beginning of the new Hindu financial year, Samvat 2083. In his Diwali message shared by Kotak Neo, Uday Kotak noted that the year gone by reflects fast-changing moves in the global economy and financial markets, both globally and domestically. “It was a year of geopolitics, AI, gold, oil, interest rates and fast-changing political environment in many parts of the world,” he said.As Dalal Street enters Samvat 2083, the industrialist noted that market valuations have corrected and Indian stock market is not looking as expensive as it was around a year ago. “As the overhang of excessive investment in AI corrects, we do hope that the foreign portfolio investments stabilize. And we have to keep in mind that even today, foreign portfolio investments are about $700 billion outstanding. India is subject to those flows which will also have an impact on the stock market price,” he added.Also read | Uday Kotak says $700 bn outstanding FII payments will boost market, sees AI worries driving flows to IndiaDisclaimer: This article has been written by Debaroti Adhikary, who is not a SEBI-registered Research Analyst or an Investment Adviser. Debaroti Adhikary and his/her ‘relative(s)’ (as defined under Section 2(77) of the Companies Act, 2013) do not hold any financial interest in the companies mentioned in this article as of the date of publication. The views/recommendations mentioned in this article, wherever applicable, are those of the respective SEBI-registered Research Analyst/brokerage and have been reproduced/reported with due attribution. They should not be construed as the views or recommendations of The Economic Times Digital or the journalist. Readers are advised to consider the original research report and make their investment decisions based on their own assessment. Brokerage disclaimers here.
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